For Firtash himself and “those-who-stay-behind-him”, who paid 125 mln Euro of bail and to whom de facto he belongs, it means:
- The triumph of post-Soviet oligarchic business-and-politics model over "Western values". The relevant slang terminology means "loot gains a victory over the evil”.
- Firtash outlived in political means Kuchma, Yushchenko and Yanukovych, so Firtash will also outlive politically Poroshenko.
- effective use of American issue for propaganda goals.
For the USA, which tried to request the extradition of Firtash:
- Loud political slap and legal failure of American justice to act effectively against Russian-Ukrainian-European gas mafia. This is the second time, since a zilch in the past decade in an attempt of FBI to catch S. Mogilevich, who safely traveled via Europe until the Russian FSB did not pack him securely in Moscow.
- The existence of German-Russian informal agreements on Ukraine and on limiting US influence on Ukraine and the EU.
- “Pan-Germanic” challenge to the USA from Germany and Austria, where the role of the first is to lead, and the second – to provide services.
For Europe:
- Austria is the safe hiding place for transnational criminal groups and post-soviet kleptocracy.
- Growth of “Pan-Germanic” dominance over the EU with leading role of Germany and satellite position of Austria.
- Spreading "the Schroeder virus" has become a transnational character and European politicians do not want to understand it as a threat.
For Russia:
- Removal from the threat (although not completely) of a strategic agent of influence in Ukraine for his further involvement into modified scenario of hybrid warfare from inside the country.
- Further proof of efficiency of Soviet and Russian approaches to the use of legal mechanisms and procedures of "Gayropa" in their favour.
- The prospect to recover opaque transnational gas schemes with the tacit support of Europe and the assistance of intra "Pan-German alliance" within the framework Germany - Austria - Zug (German-speaking Swiss canton, which is the epicenter of financial activities of Gazprom in Europe).
For Ukraine:
- Challenge to authorities, which have declared deoligarchization of politics and economics.
- Additional impetus to conflicts between oligarchs and internal strife, unacceptable in the circumstances of continued hybrid warfare of Russia against Ukraine.
- catastrophic downturn of truth to the President on the background of Firtash "avovals".
- Splash of claims from Gazprom to Naftogaz in order to force Ukraine accepting the new “old” model of gas relations with the tacit consent of Europe.
5 years ago in Bratislava an analytical book "Ukraine and Slovakia in a post-crisis architecture of energy security" was published, written by M. Gonchar, O.Malynovsky and O.Duleba. A separate chapter in the book was devoted to a detailed analysis of transnational gas business-and-politics schemes, - or rather a parasitic corruption spreading business and servile kleptopolitics, where their intergrowth gives toxic effects both on society and on foreign affairs and cooperation. We consider for appropriate to recall in mind basic activities of the Kremlin, where one of the instruments, which were used and are still active, is an organized political group (OPG) under the code name RUE.
Download "Multiple gas vectors"
The most important issue. The case in Vienna (except low probability of a scenario, when appeal on the decision of the Vienna regional criminal court will result in extradition of Firtash to overseas) on the background of the failed Ukraine - EU Summit, held in Kiev and highly possible very pure future Eastern Partnership Summit in Riga, all together give the Kremlin’s camarilla confidence, that it can continue hybrid aggression against Ukraine. One has only to wait until the summer, when the EU will not prolong sanctions against Russia, in the South Caucasus after the first European Games will flash with new force Karabakh conflict, distracting the attention of Europe. At the same time Kyiv might become a new epicenter of quarrels between oligarchs and dissatisfaction with the authorities, which use to deceive society by plotting with oligarchs, would reach a critical level...
