Author is the beginner in researching of global issues and world powers, including Russia and China. Back in 2005 in the article "The fate of the Chinese manifesto," he mused on four different scenarios of China’s expansion in Siberia: "China will resort to the tactics of waiting toward Russia, hoping that the country will eventually fall by the lethal combination of ethnic conflicts, corruption at the government level , Islamic revival, errors in tax policy and resources - the drivers of the economy suffering from lack of diversification."
In the proposed work of 2016, Juraj Mesik concludes that the powerful factors of global importance such as climate change, depletion of critical resources such as water, soil and oil, which are beyond human control, pushing China and Russia on the path of conflict. It is likely that decline in oil and gas production in Russia will coincide in time with the deterioration of climatic conditions and drop in food production in China, forcing the country to resort to aggressive policies and addressing issues of food security for the protection of its 1.4 billion population. With the catastrophic small crop volumes in China, the country will have no choice but to seize any land and water resources available for food production. The only country that has enough soil and water resources to meet the needs of hundreds of millions of Chinese who are likely to starve, is Russia. Refusing an option to be although younger, but still an important partner of Europe and the United States, Russia embarked on a gradual conversion to more junior partner of China, which with a high degree of probability, result in the loss of much of its present territory, loss of Russia's global status and, most of all, its disintegration. The technology, which could be choosen by China, is likely to be the one of hybrid war that Russia used against Ukraine. In what way it could happen read in the work of our Slovak colleague Juraj Mešik.
With reference to author and site of the Centre for Global Studies Strategy XXI obligatory.



